Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.153615 0.173397 0.194215 0.217701 0.243409 0.270639 0.301610
2025-03-30 0.125908 0.152325 0.181627 0.216359 0.256218 0.300340 0.352680
2025-04-06 0.105999 0.136370 0.171645 0.215261 0.267333 0.327093 0.400421
2025-04-13 0.090648 0.123429 0.163135 0.214117 0.277127 0.351722 0.445912
2025-04-20 0.080088 0.114848 0.158580 0.216637 0.290592 0.380509 0.496834
2025-04-27 0.072840 0.109502 0.157230 0.222498 0.307861 0.414060 0.554320
2025-05-04 0.064982 0.102360 0.152679 0.223484 0.318444 0.439164 0.601701
2025-05-11 0.059771 0.098242 0.151618 0.228660 0.334286 0.471110 0.658405
2025-05-18 0.055477 0.094925 0.151230 0.234433 0.350829 0.504190 0.717269
2025-05-25 0.049598 0.088603 0.145975 0.232872 0.357004 0.523441 0.758222
2025-06-01 0.044818 0.083454 0.141933 0.232586 0.364627 0.544545 0.801890
2025-06-08 0.040300 0.078235 0.137316 0.231017 0.370110 0.562607 0.841633
2025-06-15 0.037656 0.075939 0.137123 0.236163 0.385669 0.595427 0.903026
2025-06-22 0.034100 0.071713 0.133548 0.235875 0.393141 0.617010 0.949351
2025-06-29 0.030881 0.067727 0.130017 0.235348 0.400074 0.637858 0.995017
2025-07-06 0.027946 0.063924 0.126464 0.234487 0.406311 0.657709 1.039588
2025-07-13 0.025960 0.061685 0.125352 0.237409 0.418324 0.686153 1.096980
2025-07-20 0.024715 0.060749 0.126392 0.243838 0.435915 0.723163 1.167477
2025-07-27 0.022769 0.058191 0.124360 0.244970 0.445099 0.747794 1.220374
2025-08-03 0.021629 0.057167 0.124991 0.250580 0.461524 0.783607 1.290357
2025-08-10 0.020654 0.056385 0.125990 0.256814 0.479083 0.821473 1.364071
2025-08-17 0.018759 0.053377 0.122592 0.255148 0.483606 0.839417 1.408334
2025-08-24 0.017199 0.050930 0.120070 0.254848 0.490273 0.860710 1.457928